Bérénice Bejo, The Artist-Certainly great in The Artist, but it is going to be tough to beat Octavia Spencer.
Jessica Chastain, The Help-This nomination is probably to recognize her work in all of the movies she was in last year, The Tree of Life, Take Shelter and Coriolanus. She just doesn’t have enough recognition from previous awards to win this year.
Melissa McCarthy, Bridesmaids-It is great to see her nominated and I am sure that is what they were thinking. She won a few precursor awards, but does not have a chance getting a Best Actress Academy Award.
Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs-Any time an actress plays a man they move to front of the Oscar nomination line. Plus some think that she is well overdo for a nomination to represent all of her work. But that is all it will be a nomination.
Octavia Spencer, The Help-She will go home with the Oscar this year. I don’t know many that disagree. She won the SAG and the Golden Globe as well as 10 other critics awards.