Mark Hughes with Forbes has predicted his 10 Best Picture nominees. I don’t know why it is important other than it’s another perspective. I do not agree with his Hobbit prediction, but the rest are possible:
Life of Pi
Zero Dark Thirty
The Dark Knight Rises
Beasts of the Southern Wild
The Silver Linings Playbook
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Those are my top ten likely contender picks, although I feel the Academy will probably end up nominating just nine films. If one movie gets left off this list, then, I think it will be either Moonrise Kingdom, The Dark Knight Rises, or Beasts of the Southern Wild.