OSCAR RACE UPDATES

 

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The New York Film Critics Circle (NYFCC) will be the first organization to announce its picks for the best of 2012. They will announce their winners beginning Monday morning. The winners will really tell us which movies have the momentum they need to get an Academy Award. On Monday morning they will vote and then immediately announce, vote another category and immediately announce. Follow me on Twitter to get  announcements of the winners as they come in.  The NYFCC is sometimes a Best Picture indicator. According to Marshall Flores if you win the New York Film Critics you have a 90% chance of getting of nominated for the Best Picture Oscar. 90% if you win Best Actor, and 90% if you win animated feature.  Winning both, the percentage drops to 40%. Best Actor has a slightly better percentage, 42%.

Gold Derby writes In the last ten years, four of NYFCC’s Best Picture winners have gone on to take the top Oscar: “The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King” (2003), “No Country for Old Men” (2007), “The Hurt Locker” (2009), and “The Artist” (2011). You have to go back to 2002 to find a NYFCC winner that wasn’t at least nominated for the Best Picture Oscar: Todd Haynes’s “Far from Heaven.”

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The Producers Guild Awards announced their nominations for Best Documentary. They are:
A PEOPLE UNCOUNTED
THE GATEKEEPERS
THE ISLAND PRESIDENT
THE OTHER DREAM TEAM
SEARCHING FOR SUGAR MAN
All other nominations for the 2013 Producers Guild Award categories will be announced on January 3, 2013.

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The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences announced that 10 films remain in the running in the Visual Effects category. They are:
The Amazing Spider-Man
Cloud Atlas
The Dark Knight Rises
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
John Carter
Life of Pi
Marvel’s The Avengers
Prometheus
Skyfall
Snow White and the Huntsman

I can’t imagine LIFE OF PI not winning this category, but we haven’t seen THE HOBBIT yet,
All members of the Visual Effects Branch will be invited to view 10-minute excerpts from each of the 10 shortlisted films on Thursday, January 3. Following the screenings, the members will vote to nominate five films for final Oscar consideration.

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