MY 2013 OSCAR PREDICTIONS

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As I try to predict this years Oscar winners, I realize what a strange year it has been. The date changes have for the first time left the Oscar voters to choose nominees before any other major awards were announced. They were for the first time “on their own”. If the date changes never happened we would have seen Katheryn Bigelow and Ben Affleck nominated for Best Director.  ARGO would win BP and Affleck for Director. Not so easy this year. Some say if ARGO wins then they really hate LINCOLN and Ang Lee will win, or it will be a split. ARGO and Spielberg, or if they Spielberg wins Director than LINCOLN will win picture. I am going with the split.

I am torn in the Best Actress category. Jennifer Lawrence is the favorite to win, but I hated Silver Linings. Lawrence is young enough to have more opportunities to win. Emmanualle Riva is 86 and has been acting most of her life. It is now or never. But the old white guys are more likely to to vote with their penis and choose Lawrence. I am sticking with Riva and I am probably wrong, but I learned last year that going with the consensus is not always the way. Especially this year.

They want to honor LINCOLN somewhere if not Best Picture, it does after all have the most nominations. Daniel Day Lewis will win Actor, but I am torn with Best Supporting. Tommy Lee Jones has won a few other awards, but has not campaigned much. While Robert Deniro is in full campaign mode. Weinstein and Co. are trying to make SLP more about mental illness than a romcom. Deniro crying with Katie Couric about David O’Russells son’s fight with mental illness. Ugh..it is a romcom and a bad one. All 5 Supporting Actor nominees have won Oscars before, so maybe it is Deniro’s time again, but I am going with Tommy Lee.

Here goes nothing:

Best Motion Picture of the Year
Argo
Amour
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Django Unchained
Les Misérables
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty

Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
Bradley Cooper in “Silver Linings Playbook”
Daniel Day-Lewis in “Lincoln”
Hugh Jackman in “Les Misérables”
Joaquin Phoenix in “The Master”
Denzel Washington in “Flight”

Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role
Alan Arkin in “Argo”
Robert De Niro in “Silver Linings Playbook”
Philip Seymour Hoffman in “The Master”
Tommy Lee Jones in “Lincoln”
Christoph Waltz in “Django Unchained”

Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
Jessica Chastain in Zero Dark Thirty
Jennifer Lawrence in Silver Linings Playbook
Emmanuelle Riva in Amour
Quvenzhané Wallis in Beasts of the Southern Wild
Naomi Watts in The Impossible

Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
Amy Adams in The Master
Sally Field in Lincoln
Anne Hathaway in Les Misérables
Helen Hunt in The Sessions
Jacki Weaver in Silver Linings Playbook

Best Animated Feature Film of the Year
Brave
Frankenweenie
ParaNorman” Sam Fell and Chris Butler
The Pirates! Band of Misfits
Wreck-It Ralph

Achievement in Cinematography
Anna Karenina Seamus McGarvey
Django Unchained Robert Richardson
Life of Pi Claudio Miranda
Lincoln Janusz Kaminski
Skyfall Roger Deakins

Achievement in Costume Design
Anna Karenina Jacqueline Durran
Les Misérables Paco Delgado
Lincoln Joanna Johnston
Mirror Mirror Eiko Ishioka
Snow White and the Huntsman Colleen Atwood

Achievement in Directing
Amour Michael Haneke
Beasts of the Southern Wild Benh Zeitlin
Life of Pi Ang Lee
Lincoln Steven Spielberg
Silver Linings Playbook David O. Russell

Best Documentary Feature
5 Broken Cameras
The Gatekeepers
How to Survive a Plague
The Invisible War
Searching for Sugar Man

Best Documentary Short Subject
Inocente
Kings Point
Mondays at Racine
Open Heart
Redemption

Achievement in Film Editing
Argo
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty

Best Foreign Language Film of the Year
Amour 
Kon-Tiki
No”
A Royal Affair
War Witch

Achievement in Makeup and Hairstyling
Hitchcock
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Les Misérables


Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures (Original Score)
Anna Karenina
Argo
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Skyfall

Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures (Original Song)
Before My Time from Chasing Ice
Everybody Needs A Best Friend from Ted
Pi’s Lullaby from Life of Pi
Skyfall from Skyfall
Suddenly from “Les Misérables

Achievement in Production Design
Anna Karenina
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Les Misérables
Life of Pi
Lincoln

Best animated Short Film
Adam and Dog
Fresh Guacamole
Head over Heels
Maggie Simpson in The Longest Daycare
Paperman

Best Live Action Short Film
Asad
Buzkashi Boys
Curfew
Death of a Shadow
Henry

Achievement in Sound Editing
Argo
Django Unchained
Life of Pi
Skyfall
Zero Dark Thirty

Achievement in Sound Mixing
Argo
Les Misérables
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Skyfall

Achievement in Visual Effects
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Life of Pi
Marvel’s The Avengers
Prometheus
Snow White and the Huntsman

Adapted Screenplay
Argo
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook

Original Screenplay
Amour Written by Michael Haneke
Django Unchained Written by Quentin Tarantino
Flight Written by John Gatins
Moonrise Kingdom Written by Wes Anderson & Roman Coppola
Zero Dark Thirty Written by Mark Boal

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