2014 Oscar Predictions

2014 Oscar Logo

 BEST PICTURE
12 Years a Slave
American Hustle
Captain Phillips
Dallas Buyers Club
Gravity
Her
Nebraska
Philomena
The Wolf of Wall Street

With only a few days left before the Oscars, we are down to a 3 way race for Best Picture. GRAVITY, 12 YEARS A SLAVE and AMERICAN HUSTLE. The majority of Oscar pundits are predicting 12 YEARS A SLAVE for Picture and Alfonso Cuaron (GRAVITY) for Best Director. Picture and Director splits are rare, but they do happen. If there was any year for a split to happen, it would be this one. AMERICAN HUSTLE could be the upset. Remember 51% of Oscar voters have to put it at number 1.  If there is not a majority then they go to the film with the most number 2 votes that has the majority. It is possible that 12 YEARS and GRAVITY will be numbers 1 and 2, but not have the majority. That would then make their third choice, AMERICAN HUSTLE your Best Picture of 2014. Most agree that AMERICAN HUSTLE is the weakest movie of all the 9 nominees, but we know that Actors loved it and they make up the majority of voters. (ugh!).

With all of that said, I am still going with GRAVITY for Best Picture and Cuaron for Director. 12 YEARS A SLAVE is the better movie and The Academy would be breaking down the berriers that black film makers have been up against for the last 86 years. They actually can’t win in this situation. If they don’t choose 12 YEARS as the best of the year, they run the risk of looking racist. If they do vote it Best Picture it will be perceived as a “white guilt” vote. This makes GRAVITY the safe movie that The Academy loves to reward.

BEST DIRECTOR
David O. Russell, American Hustle
Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity”
Alexander Payne, Nebraska”
Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave
Martin Scorsese, The Wolf of Wall Street

Cuaron has won the most awards leading up to Oscar night including the DGA. His groundbreaking work on GRAVITY won’t be ignored.

BEST ACTOR
Christian Bale, American Hustle
Bruce Dern, Nebraska
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Wolf of Wall Street
Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave
Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club

McConaughey has also won most of the precursor awards, but some say Bruce Dern is long overdue. I still think that McConaughey is a lock.

BEST ACTRESS
Amy Adams, American Hustle
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
Sandra Bullock, Gravity
Judi Dench, Philomena
Meryl Streep, August: Osage County

Blanchett has been the front-runner all year. The recent controversy with Woody Allen could keep her from winning.

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
American Hustle
Blue Jasmine
Her
Nebraska
Dallas Buyers Club

HER has won every screenplay award that it has been nominated for this year. I expect it to continue, but AMERICAN HUSTLE still lurks.

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Before Midnight
Captain Phillips
Philomena
12 Years a Slave
The Wolf of Wall Street

12 YEARS A SLAVE will take home some Oscars on Sunday night. I dont think that it will be completely shut-out.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave
Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
June Squibb, Nebraska
Julia Roberts, August: Osage County
Sally Hawkins, Blue Jasmine

Nyong’o won the SAG, Jennifer Lawrence won the Golden Globe and the BAFTA. But for the love of god Lawrence has enough.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Barkhad Abdi, Captain Phillips
Bradley Cooper, American Hustle
Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave
Jonah Hill, The Wolf of Wall Street
Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club

BEST ANIMATED FILM
The Croods
Despicable Me 2
Ernest & Celestine
Frozen
The Wind Rises

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
The Grandmaster
Gravity
Inside Llewyn Davis
Nebraska
Prisoners

GRAVITY was made to win cinematography.

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
American Hustle
The Grandmaster
The Great Gatsby
The Invisible Woman
12 Years a Slave

AMERICAN HUSTLE will win a few. Costume could be one of those.

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
The Act of Killing
Cutie and the Boxer
Dirty Wars
The Square
20 Feet from Stardom

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
CaveDigger
Facing Fear
Karama Has No Walls
The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life
Prison Terminal: The Last Days of Private Jack

BEST FILM EDITING
American Hustle
Captain Phillips
Dallas Buyers Club J
Gravity
12 Years a Slave

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
The Broken Circle Breakdown
The Great Beauty
The Hunt
The Missing Picture
Omar

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
Dallas Buyers Club
Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa
The Lone Ranger

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
John Williams, The Book Thief
Steven Price, Gravity
William Butler and Owen Pallett, Her
Alexandre Desplat, Philomena
Thomas Newman, Saving Mr. Banks

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
“Alone Yet Not Alone” from Alone Yet Not Alone
“Happy” from Despicable Me 2
“Let It Go” from Frozen
“The Moon Song” from Her
“Ordinary Love” from Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
American Hustle
Gravity
The Great Gatsby
Her
12 Years a Slave

BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM
Feral
Get a Horse!
Mr. Hublot
Possessions
Room on the Broom

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM
Aquel No Era Yo (That Wasn’t Me) Esteban Crespo
Avant Que De Tout Perdre (Just before Losing Everything)
Helium
Pitääkö Mun Kaikki Hoitaa? (Do I Have to Take Care of Everything?)
The Voorman Problem

All of the Live Action Short nominees can now be seen on iTunes and VOD.

BEST SOUND EDITING
All Is Lost
Captain Phillips
Gravity
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Lone Survivor

BEST SOUND MIXING
Captain Phillips
Gravity
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Inside Llewyn Davis
Lone Survivor

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Gravity
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Iron Man 3
The Lone Ranger
Star Trek Into Darkness

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