Telluride Has a History of Choosing Best Picture Winners


The Telluride Film Festival has a track record of choosing films that go on to get a Best Picture nomination. For the past six years a movie from Telluride went on to win Best Picture. They have had 31 BP nominations over their 42 year history. 
1974: The Conversation
1989: My Left Foot
1992: The Crying Game
1993: The Piano
1996: Secrets and Lies
2000: Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon
2003: Lost in Translation
2004: Finding Neverland
2005: Brokeback Mountain, Capote
2006: Babel
2007: Juno, There Will Be Blood
2008: Slumdog Millionaire, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
2009: An Education, Up in the Air
2010: The King’s Speech, 127 Hours, Black Swan
2011: The Artist, The Descendants
2012: Argo, Amour
2013: 12 Years a Slave,Gravity, Nebraska
2014: Birdman,The Imitation Game
2015: Spotlight, Room

This is part of the reason for so many people predicting Spotlight to win last year over The Revanant. As we know trends don’t last forever, but based on the Telluride line-up announced today, there is a pretty good chance that the Best Picture winner is on this list.

2016 Telluride line-up:

  • ARRIVAL (d. Denis Villeneuve, U.S., 2016)
  • THE B-SIDE: ELSA DORFMAN’S PORTRAIT PHOTOGRAPHY (d. Errol Morris, U.S., 2016)
  • BLEED FOR THIS (d. Ben Younger, U.S., 2016)
  • CALIFORNIA TYPEWRITER (d. Doug Nichol, U.S., 2016)
  • CHASING TRANE (d. John Scheinfeld, U.S., 2016)
  • THE END OF EDEN (d. Angus Macqueen, U.K., 2016)
  • FINDING OSCAR (d. Ryan Suffern, U.S., 2016)
  • FIRE AT SEA (d. Gianfranco Rosi, Italy/France, 2016)
  • FRANTZ (d. François Ozon, France, 2016)
  • GENTLEMAN RISSIENT (d. Benoît Jacquot, Pascal Mérigeau, Guy Seligmann, France, 2016)
  • GRADUATION (d. Cristian Mungiu, Romania/France/Belgium, 2016)
  • INTO THE INFERNO (d. Werner Herzog, U.K./Austria, 2016)
  • THE IVORY GAME (d. Kief Davidson, Richard Ladkani, Austria/U.S., 2016)
  • LA LA LAND (d. Damien Chazelle, U.S., 2016)
  • LOST IN PARIS (d. Fiona Gordon, Dominique Abel, France/Belgium, 2016)
  • MANCHESTER BY THE SEA (d. Kenneth Lonergan, U.S., 2016)
  • MAUDIE (d. Aisling Walsh, Canada/Ireland, 2016)
  • MEN: A LOVE STORY (d. Mimi Chakarova, U.S., 2016)
  • MOONLIGHT (d. Barry Jenkins, U.S., 2016)
  • MY JOURNEY THROUGH FRENCH CINEMA (d. Bertrand Tavernier, France, 2016)
  • NERUDA (d. Pablo Larraín, Chile/Argentina/France/Spain, 2016)
  • NORMAN: THE MODERATE RISE AND TRAGIC FALL OF A NEW YORK FIXER (d. Joseph Cedar, U.S./Israel, 2016)
  • SULLY (d. Clint Eastwood, U.S., 2016)
  • THINGS TO COME (d. Mia Hansen-Løve, France/Germany, 2016)
  • THROUGH THE WALL (d. Rama Burshtein, U.S./Israel, 2016)
  • TONI ERDMANN (d. Maren Ade, Germany/Austria, 2016)
  • UNA (d. Benedict Andrews, U.K./U.S./Canada, 2016)
  • WAKEFIELD (d. Robin Swicord, U.S., 2016)

The festival runs September 2nd-September 5th.

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