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Damien Chazelle’s La La Land centers on two dreamers living in Los Angeles: Mia (Emma Stone), an aspiring actress who can’t land a gig and Sebastian (Ryan Gosling), a pianist who wants to open his own jazz club. The pair eventually falls for each other, but their dreams are tested when their relationship becomes an obstacle to their careers rather than a support system.

Lionsgate released the third trailer today concentrating less on the music and more on the plot. Musicals aren’t generally big at the box office, especially musicals with original music. Box office draw plays a very small part when choosing a Best Picture winner.  What makes La La Land front runner is that most everyone that has seen it has loved it or at least liked it. The Academy loves movies about Hollywood especially those that celebrate old Hollywood as La La Land does.

Another way to find a Best Picture winner is to build it category by category. Expect nominations for Best Actress Emma Stone, Best Actor Ryan Gosling, Best Director Damien Chazelle, Best Original Screenplay, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing, Original Song. That my friends is what makes a Best Picture.

La La Land opens December 9th.