The Golden Globes will be held this Sunday. The Globes are hit and miss when it comes to Oscar predicting. Although they are being held right in the middle of Oscar voting which began January 5th and ends January 13th.
Only 3 of the last 7 Golden Globe winners went on to win Best Picture, Argo, The Artist and 12 Years a Slave. The Globes do help with publicity for an actor or a film. A great speech or moment could change the course of Oscar voting. Standing ovations and huge applause will tells us who the room really likes and you need to be liked to win an Oscar.
Best motion picture, musical or comedy
20th Century Women
Florence Foster Jenkins
La La Land-Not much to say. This movie was made to win this category and it will.
Best actress in a motion picture, musical or comedy
Annette Bening, 20th Century Women
Lily Collins, Rules Don’t Apply
Hailee Steinfeld, The Edge of Seventeen
Emma Stone, La La Land: They may go with Bening to honor her body of work and they love Meryl Streep, but all signs point to Stone.
Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins
Best actor in a motion picture, musical or comedy
Colin Farrell, The Lobster
Ryan Gosling, La La Land-I could also see them going with Hugh Grant, just to mix it up and prevent La La Land from a sweep. Sticking with Gosling.
Hugh Grant, Florence Foster Jenkins
Jonah Hill, War Dogs
Ryan Reynolds, Deadpool
Best motion picture, drama
Hell or High Water
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight-This is a tough one. All of the nominees have a chance. Especially Manchester by the Sea. My gut says Moonlight and my gut is usually wrong. We’ll see.
Best actress in a motion picture, drama
Amy Adams, Arrival
Jessica Chastain, Miss Sloane
Isabelle Huppert, Elle
Ruth Negga, Loving
Natalie Portman, Jackie-There could be a surprise here. Adams or Huppert may also get it. Jackie is a decisive film. People love it or hate it, but I think that they like Portman.
Best actor in a motion picture, drama
Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea–He has won almost everything else up to here. No reason to think that his streak won’t continue.
Joel Edgerton, Loving
Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
Denzel Washington, Fences
Best supporting actress in a motion picture
Viola Davis, Fences-Yes and that is all.
Naomie Harris, Moonlight
Nicole Kidman, Lion
Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures
Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea
Best supporting actor in a motion picture
Mahershala Ali, Moonlight-Another one that has been on a winning streak, but Jeff Bridges could also get this one. I think that Ali will win and his humbling speech at the Globes will lock up his Oscar win.
Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
Simon Helberg, Florence Foster Jenkins
Dev Patel, Lion
Aaron Taylor-Johnson, Nocturnal Animals
Best director, motion picture
Damien Chazelle, La La Land-Was back and forth on this one but I think the love for La La Land will take over.
Tom Ford, Nocturnal Animals
Mel Gibson, Hacksaw Ridge
Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea
Best screenplay, motion picture
Hell or High Water
La La Land
Manchester by the Sea-A musical has never won in this category, which doesn’t really mean anything. La La Land may sweep the night, but going with Manchester on this one.
Best animated feature film
Kubo and the Two Strings-Why not?
My Life as a Zucchini
Best motion picture, foreign language
Elle-I’ve only seen Elle and Toni Erdmann. Elle is the much better film and Huppert’s actress nomination helps.
Best original score, motion picture
Nicholas Britell, Moonlight
Justin Hurwitz, La La Land-The Hollywood Foreign Press loves La La Land.
Johann Johannsson, Arrival
Dustin O’Halloran and Hauschka, Lion
Hans Zimmer, Pharrell Williams and Benjamin Wallfisch, Hidden Figures
Best original song, motion picture
Can’t Stop the Feeling, Trolls
City of Stars, La La Land
How Far I’ll Go, Moana-They want to hear Lin Manuel Miranda give a speech post election.
There are sure to be some surprises. The Golden Globes will air live on NBC Sunday night at 8pm EST.