After following the Oscars all year long, you would think that I would have a good idea of how they might go. Nobody really knows as much as might claim they do. The only lock is Viola Davis for Best Supporting Actress. Most presume that La La Land is a sure thing for Best Picture and it probably is, but I am going with a Best Picture/Director Split. Moonlight for Best Picture and Damian Chazelle for Director. I am probably wrong, but I can’t ignore the passion that is behind Moonlight right now.
Here goes nothing:

Best Picture

Best Director
Damien Chazelle, La La Land

Best Actress
Emma Stone, La La Land

Best Supporting Actress
Viola Davis, Fences

Best Actor
Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea

Best Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali, Moonlight

Best Documentary Feature
O.J.: Made in America

Best Adapted Screenplay

Best Original Screenplay
Manchester by the Sea, Kenneth Lonergan

Best Foreign Language Film
A Man Called Ove

Best Original Score
La La Land

Best Original Song
“City of Stars,” La La Land

Best Cinematography

Best Production Design
La La Land

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Star Trek Beyond

Best Costume Design
Florence Foster Jenkins

Best Visual Effects
The Jungle Book

Best Sound Editing
Hacksaw Ridge

Best Sound Mixing
La La Land

Best Documentary Short

Best Live Action Short
Ennemis Intérieurs

Best Animated Feature

Best Film Editing
Hacksaw Ridge

Best Animated Short