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The DGA and PGA are the best predictors of how the Best Picture race will go.

From GoldDerby: Since the Directors Guild of America aligned itself with the Oscars calendar in 1950, all but seven of its winners for Best Director have repeated at the Oscars. However, the guild does less well predicting the five Oscar nominees. In its first 15 years, there were anywhere from four to 18 DGA nominees. From 1963 – 1965, it went with five before going to 10 for the rest of the decade. Finally, beginning in 1970 it enshrined the number of nominees as five. And since then, there have only been five years where it previewed the exact lineup of Oscar contenders. 

The nominees are:

Alejandro G. Inarritu, The Revenant

Tom McCarthy, Spotlight

Adam McKay, The Big Short

George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road

Ridley Scott, The Martian


A teaser poster for THE REVENANT was released this week. Opening in limited theaters on Christmas Day, THE REVENANT goes wide on January 8th. At this point in the race and sight unseen, it’s hard to imagine Leonardo Dicaprio not winning his first Oscar this year. The tea leaves are also pointing towards a best picture nomination. 


THE REVENANT captures a man’s epic adventure of survival and the power of the human spirit.  Hugh Glass (DiCaprio) is attacked by a bear and left for dead by members of his hunting team. With a will survive, he endures unimaginable grief and betrayal. It was directed by last years best director winner Alejandro G. Iñárritu.

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While the New York Film Critics pushed Boyhood further into the Oscar race, The Gotham Independent Film Awards pushed Birdman along.

Best Feature – Birdman  – Alejandro G. Iñárritu, director

Best Actress – Julianne Moore in Still Alice

Best Actor* – Michael Keaton in Birdman

Best Documentary – CITIZENFOUR – Laura Poitras, director

Breakthrough Actor – Tessa Thompson in Dear White People

Bingham Ray Breakthrough Director Award – Ana Lily Amirpour for A Girl Walks Home Alone at Night

Audience Award – Boyhood

The 2014 Best Actor nominating panel also voted to award a special Gotham Jury Award jointly to Steve Carell, Mark Ruffalo, and Channing Tatum for their ensemble performance in Foxcatcher