Here we go again. Another Oscar race with Director David O’Russell directing Jennifer Lawrence and Bradley Cooper and Robert Dinero, Apparently they are the only actors that can win him awards, so why change what works? If you think SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK and AMERICAN HUSTLE worked. Both are the worst movies to ever be considered for best picture.

According to Variety, The movie follows a family across four generations, focusing on the real-life rags-to-riches story of Joy Mangano, a single mother of three who overcomes insurmountable obstacles to become the founder of a billion-dollar family empire after inventing the Miracle Mop. Cooper plays an executive at the Home Shopping Network who helps sell her product.

I indirectly worked with Joy Mangano when she first began selling the Miracle Mop on QVC. She did not start at the Home Shopping Network as mentioned by Variety. There is a quick shot of a QVC set mock up in the trailer.

The movie looks halfway decent, maybe because of my own personal interest. Some already have JOY predicted as best picture nominee, Jennifer Lawrence for best actress and Bradley Cooper for supporting.

JOY opens Christmas Day.

Clint Eastwood doesn’t need any stinkin film festival to win Oscars. He going the MILLION DOLLAR BABY route with AMERICAN SNIPER. BABY was released December 15th, 2004 and took 4 Oscars including Best Picture. Studios can campaign all year for an Oscar or bet on the theory that Academy voters are more likely to remember the last movie they saw.

AMERICAN SNIPER is set for a December 25th release date.

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AMERICAN HUSTLE POSTER

We are still waiting for AMERICAN HUSTLE reviews to come in before deciding it’s Oscar chances. Director David O’Russell (ugh!) is pushing hard for a Best Picture nomination.

A clip featuring Jennifer Lawrence was just released.

CLIP FROM AMERICAN HUSTLE

American Hustle Poster

Another movie that has yet to be seen, but is predicted to well at the Oscars is AMERICAN HUSTLE.  David O’ Russell is again pushing hard for an Oscar run. I cannot stand O’ Russell. His arrogance and self assumption that he should win every award is annoying.  THE FIGHtER was a decent movie, but had some flaws. SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK was horrible and I still don’t know how it won anything.  Jennifer Lawrence and Bradley Cooper again? ugh!  Besides that I will give AMERICAN HUSTLE a chance.

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As I try to predict this years Oscar winners, I realize what a strange year it has been. The date changes have for the first time left the Oscar voters to choose nominees before any other major awards were announced. They were for the first time “on their own”. If the date changes never happened we would have seen Katheryn Bigelow and Ben Affleck nominated for Best Director.  ARGO would win BP and Affleck for Director. Not so easy this year. Some say if ARGO wins then they really hate LINCOLN and Ang Lee will win, or it will be a split. ARGO and Spielberg, or if they Spielberg wins Director than LINCOLN will win picture. I am going with the split.

I am torn in the Best Actress category. Jennifer Lawrence is the favorite to win, but I hated Silver Linings. Lawrence is young enough to have more opportunities to win. Emmanualle Riva is 86 and has been acting most of her life. It is now or never. But the old white guys are more likely to to vote with their penis and choose Lawrence. I am sticking with Riva and I am probably wrong, but I learned last year that going with the consensus is not always the way. Especially this year.

They want to honor LINCOLN somewhere if not Best Picture, it does after all have the most nominations. Daniel Day Lewis will win Actor, but I am torn with Best Supporting. Tommy Lee Jones has won a few other awards, but has not campaigned much. While Robert Deniro is in full campaign mode. Weinstein and Co. are trying to make SLP more about mental illness than a romcom. Deniro crying with Katie Couric about David O’Russells son’s fight with mental illness. Ugh..it is a romcom and a bad one. All 5 Supporting Actor nominees have won Oscars before, so maybe it is Deniro’s time again, but I am going with Tommy Lee.

Here goes nothing:

Best Motion Picture of the Year
Argo
Amour
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Django Unchained
Les Misérables
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty

Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
Bradley Cooper in “Silver Linings Playbook”
Daniel Day-Lewis in “Lincoln”
Hugh Jackman in “Les Misérables”
Joaquin Phoenix in “The Master”
Denzel Washington in “Flight”

Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role
Alan Arkin in “Argo”
Robert De Niro in “Silver Linings Playbook”
Philip Seymour Hoffman in “The Master”
Tommy Lee Jones in “Lincoln”
Christoph Waltz in “Django Unchained”

Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
Jessica Chastain in Zero Dark Thirty
Jennifer Lawrence in Silver Linings Playbook
Emmanuelle Riva in Amour
Quvenzhané Wallis in Beasts of the Southern Wild
Naomi Watts in The Impossible

Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
Amy Adams in The Master
Sally Field in Lincoln
Anne Hathaway in Les Misérables
Helen Hunt in The Sessions
Jacki Weaver in Silver Linings Playbook

Best Animated Feature Film of the Year
Brave
Frankenweenie
ParaNorman” Sam Fell and Chris Butler
The Pirates! Band of Misfits
Wreck-It Ralph

Achievement in Cinematography
Anna Karenina Seamus McGarvey
Django Unchained Robert Richardson
Life of Pi Claudio Miranda
Lincoln Janusz Kaminski
Skyfall Roger Deakins

Achievement in Costume Design
Anna Karenina Jacqueline Durran
Les Misérables Paco Delgado
Lincoln Joanna Johnston
Mirror Mirror Eiko Ishioka
Snow White and the Huntsman Colleen Atwood

Achievement in Directing
Amour Michael Haneke
Beasts of the Southern Wild Benh Zeitlin
Life of Pi Ang Lee
Lincoln Steven Spielberg
Silver Linings Playbook David O. Russell

Best Documentary Feature
5 Broken Cameras
The Gatekeepers
How to Survive a Plague
The Invisible War
Searching for Sugar Man

Best Documentary Short Subject
Inocente
Kings Point
Mondays at Racine
Open Heart
Redemption

Achievement in Film Editing
Argo
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty

Best Foreign Language Film of the Year
Amour 
Kon-Tiki
No”
A Royal Affair
War Witch

Achievement in Makeup and Hairstyling
Hitchcock
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Les Misérables


Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures (Original Score)
Anna Karenina
Argo
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Skyfall

Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures (Original Song)
Before My Time from Chasing Ice
Everybody Needs A Best Friend from Ted
Pi’s Lullaby from Life of Pi
Skyfall from Skyfall
Suddenly from “Les Misérables

Achievement in Production Design
Anna Karenina
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Les Misérables
Life of Pi
Lincoln

Best animated Short Film
Adam and Dog
Fresh Guacamole
Head over Heels
Maggie Simpson in The Longest Daycare
Paperman

Best Live Action Short Film
Asad
Buzkashi Boys
Curfew
Death of a Shadow
Henry

Achievement in Sound Editing
Argo
Django Unchained
Life of Pi
Skyfall
Zero Dark Thirty

Achievement in Sound Mixing
Argo
Les Misérables
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Skyfall

Achievement in Visual Effects
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Life of Pi
Marvel’s The Avengers
Prometheus
Snow White and the Huntsman

Adapted Screenplay
Argo
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook

Original Screenplay
Amour Written by Michael Haneke
Django Unchained Written by Quentin Tarantino
Flight Written by John Gatins
Moonrise Kingdom Written by Wes Anderson & Roman Coppola
Zero Dark Thirty Written by Mark Boal

original

David O. Russell’s SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK an early Oscar contender, starring Jennifer Lawrence and Bradley Cooper, will be released a week early in select markets, The Weinstein Company announced Monday.

As a result of the Oscar buzz and good word of mouth, they are releasing it November 16th in these cities:

New York

Los Angeles

Chicago

Philadelphia

San Francisco

Boston

Washington DC

Miami

San Diego

Austin

It opens wide November 21st.