Do The Golden Globes Change the Oscar Race?

The 75th Golden Globes ceremony is tonight and offers a bit of a preview of what can win at the Academy Awards. One thing to note is that we are 2 days into voting for Oscar nominations. Anyone who has already voted will obviously not be affected by tonight’s outcome, but the rest could be swayed. The Globes have separate awards for comedy and drama, doubling its chances of choosing the Best Picture Oscar winner.

Last year Moonlight was awarded Best Drama and went on to win the Oscar. Casey Affleck won the Globe for Manchester by the Sea and Emma Stone did won the Actress Globe for La La Land. They both went on to win the Oscar.

Keep in mind that Hollywood Foreign Press Association, who vote on the Globes, is a group of 90 people while the academy is made up of 7,000 plus voters. The HFPA votes using the popular vote while the Oscars use a preferential ballot for Best Picture. Both could produce separate outcomes. If anything it will tell us which films and performances have support. Especially in a year when we don’t have a clear frontrunner.

The acceptance speeches tonight, could make or break an actors Oscar chances. The Academy votes for who they like, plain and simple. When Sally Fields said “you like me, you really like me” during her acceptance speech for her Oscar win, she wasn’t being conceited. She was seriously surprised that “they” liked her. That’s what it takes to win. Give a good down to earth, honest and emotional acceptance speech at the Globes and the Academy will like you, really like you.


Los Angeles Online Film Critics Awards Winners

The Los Angeles Online Film Critics Society announced their first ever award winners on Tuesday.

LAOFCS was started last year to support Los Angeles online film critics. Their main goal is to support diversity in the world of film journalism. They will hold an awards ceremony on January 10th.

They loved The Shape of Water awarding in Best Picture and Best Male Director for Guillermo del Toro. The film won four awards including Sally Hawkins for Best Actress and Alexandre Desplat for Original Score.

Full list of winners:

Best Picture
“The Shape of Water”

Best Actress
Sally Hawkins – “The Shape of Water”

Best Actor
Gary Oldman – “Darkest Hour”

Best Supporting Actress
Allison Janney – I, Tonya

Best Supporting Actor – TIE
Patrick Stewart – “Logan ”
Michael Stuhlbarg – “Call Me by Your Name”

Best Adapted Screenplay
Aaron Sorkin – “Molly’s Game”

Best Original Screenplay
Jordan Peele – “Get Out”

Best Male Director
Guillermo del Toro – “The Shape of Water”

Best Female Director
Greta Gerwig – “Lady Bird”

Best Animated Film

Best Foreign Film
“The Square”

Best Documentary – TIE
“Jim & Andy: The Great Beyond”

Best Visual Effects
“War for The Planet of the Apes”

Best Cinematography
Roger Deakins, “Blade Runner 2049”

Best Blockbuster
“Wonder Woman”

Best Independent Film
“Lady Bird”

Best First Feature
Jordan Peele, “Get Out”

Best Comedy or Musical
“The Big Sick ”

Best Action/War
“Baby Driver”

Best Sci-Fi/Horror
“Get Out ”

Best Actor or Actress 23 and Under
Saoirse Ronan, “Lady Bird”

Best Stunt Work
“Baby Driver”

Best Score
Alexandre Desplat, “The Shape of Water”

Best Editing
Paul Machliss and Jonathan Amos, “Baby Driver”

Best Visual Effect Performance
Andy Serkis, “War for the Planet of the Apes”

Trailblazer Award:
Jessica Chastain

LAOFCS Achievement Award:
Hugh Jackman

Oscar Race Comes Together This Week



On Monday December 1st-The New York Film Critics will confirm or deny some of the Oscar hopefuls when they announce their awards. Last year they chose American Hustle as Best Picture. At that time, it had yet to be seen or reviewed, but American Hustle immediately became part of the conversations. It went on to get a Best picture nomination. The year before they chose another film that had not yet been seen or reviewed, Zero Dark Thirty.  My guess is that the NYFCC will award Birdman as their Best Picture and confirm it as a serious Oscar contender. Unbroken is the only other contender that has not been seen or reviewed in the US. That all changes tonight with a screening in Los Angeles. Tomorrow night at this time we will know what movies the quirky New York Film critics chose as their best of the year and if Unbroken was able to live up to the hype.

Tuesday December 2nd-The National Board of Review will announce their awards. Last year they chose Her as Best Film. Her went on to get a Best Picture nom.

Sunday December 7th-The Los Angeles Fiml Critics will announce their choices for best of the year. Last year there was an unprecedented tie between Gravity and Her.

According to TMZ, Abigail Breslin has some motivation to campaign for an Oscar:

Most 17-year-olds feel pressure to get into a good college, but not Abigail Breslin … the teenage A-lister has $100,000 riding on whether or not she can nab an Academy Award from her upcoming flick.According to Abigail’s minor’s contract — recently obtained by TMZ — the lil star was paid $75,000 for two weeks worth of work on a film called “August: Osage County” shot last fall. It also stars Meryl Streep and Julia Roberts.Now here’s the interesting part … in AB’s contract a special clause was added just for awards … which states if Abigail wins the Golden Globe for best supporting actress she nabs a $50,000 bonus.There’s more … if Abigail wins an Oscar she gets ANOTHER $50,000. And if she wins both, they throw her the whole shebang. Plus all that other stuff like: respect, honor, esteem, … yadda, yadda.Of course with moves like these, it’s in the bag …


Oscar StatueWe have to wait for the Toronto Film Festival and Telluride before we get a clearer picture of the Best Picture race.

The first half of the year has not brought much in the way of BP contenders. The closest we now is BEFORE MIDNIGHT with Julie Delpy as a Best Actress contender and maybe a Best Original Screenplay. THE GREAT GATSBY has fizzled out to so so reviews. It could get some technical nominations, but it is not likely to get a BP nom. MUD was a possibility, but some good reviews don’t seem to be giving it any momentum. I think everyone is waiting for Matthew McConaughey  in DALLAS BUYERS CLUB. Where he has a shot for Best Actor. THE PLACE BEYOND THE PINES also failed to gain an audience.

The films with the most potential sight unseen are:
















Most of these movies will come and go. Other dark horses will come out of nowhere and will push other aside. But it’s never to early to start the Oscar conversation.