2018 Oscar Nominations Predictions

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Oscar nominations will be announced bright and early on Tuesday morning.  Here is my best guess at the nominations:

Best Picture
Get Out
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
The Shape of Water
Dunkirk
Lady Bird
The Post
Call Me by Your Name
The Big Sick
I, Tonya
Darkest Hour

Best Director
Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk)
Guillermo del Toro (The Shape of Water)
Jordan Peele (Get Out)
Greta Gerwig (Lady Bird)
Martin McDonagh (Three Billboards Outside, Ebbing Missouri)

Best Actress
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)
Margot Robbie (I, Tonya)
Meryl Streep (The Post)
Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water)

Best Actor
Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour)
Timothee Chalamet (Call Me by Your Name)
James Franco (The Disaster Artist)
Daniel Day-Lewis (Phantom Thread)
Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out)

Best Supporting Actress
Allison Janney (I, Tonya)
Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird)
Holly Hunter (The Big Sick)
Hong Chau (Downsizing)
Octavia Spencer (The Shape of Water)

Best Supporting Actor
Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project)
Christopher Plummer (All the Money in the World)
Michael Stuhlbarg (Call Me by Your Name)
Richard Jenkins (The Shape of Water)

Best Adapted Screenplay
Call Me by Your Name (James Ivory)
Molly’s Game (Aaron Sorkin)
The Disaster Artist (Scott Neustadter & Michael H. Weber)
Mudbound (Dee Rees & Virgil Williams)
Wonder (Stephen Chbosky, Steve Conrad & Jack Thorne)

Best Original Screenplay
Get Out (Jordan Peele)
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (Martin McDonagh)
Lady Bird (Greta Gerwig)
The Shape of Water (Guillermo del Toro & Vanessa Taylor)
The Post (Liz Hannah & Josh Singer)

Best Cinematography
Dunkirk (Hoyte van Hoytema)
Blade Runner 2049 (Roger Deakins)
The Shape of Water (Dan Laustsen)
Darkest Hour (Bruno Delbonnel)
Call Me by Your Name (Sayombhu Mukdeeprom)

Costume Design
Beauty and the Beast
I Tonya
Phantom Thread
The Greatest Showman
Wonder Woman

Film Editing
Baby Driver
Dunkirk
Blade Runner 2049
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards

Make-up and Hair
Darkest Hour
I, Tonya
Wonder

Production Design
Beauty and the Beast
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
Shape of Water
Darkest Hour

Original Score
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
Phantom Thread
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Shape of Water

Original Song
Call Me By Your Name “Mystery of Love”
Coco “Remember Me”
The Greatest Showman “This is Me”
Mudbound “Mighty River”
Beauty and the Beast “Evermore”

Sound Editing
Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
Shape of Water
War for the Planet of the Apes

Sound Mixing
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Star Wars the Last Jedi
Baby Driver

Visual Effects
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Star Wars The Last Jedi
War for the Planet of the Apes

Animated Feature
The Boss Baby
The Breadwinner
Coco
Ferdinand
Loving Vincent

Documentary Feature
Faces Places
City of Ghosts
Strong Island
Jane
Last Men in Aleppo

Foreign Film
In the Fade
Foxtrot
A Fantastic Woman
Loveless
The Square

Animated Short
Cradle
Dear Basketball
In a Heartbeat
Lost Property Office
Negative Space

Documentary Short
Edith + Eddie
Heroine
116 Cameras
Alone
Ten Meter Tower

Live Action Short
Facing Mecca
Rise of a Star
The Silent Child
Watu Wrote / All of Us
DeKalb Elementary

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The Shape of Water Leads BAFTA Nominations

The British Academy Film Awards announced their nominations on Tuesday. BAFTA nominations have been a good precursor to how Oscar nominations might go. Can’t say the same for the winners.

Unlike the Oscars, BAFTA has 5 nominees for Best Picture. It’s a good way to see which films have the strongest support. Most likely your Best Picture winner is in the BAFTA Best Film list of nominees Call Me by Your Name, Darkest Hour, Dunkirk, The Shape of Water, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri. The last time Best Picture was not on the BAFTA list was 2004 with Million Dollar Baby. The winners haven’t matched since 12 Years a Slave won both the BAFTA and Best Picture at the Oscars in 2013.

The Shape of Water leads with 12 nominations. Darkest Hour and Three Billboards follow with 9 nominations.

The winners will be announced on February 18th.

Full list of BAFTA nominees:

Best film
Call Me by Your Name
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Outstanding British film
Darkest Hour
The Death of Stalin
God’s Own Country
Lady Macbeth
Paddington 2
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Outstanding debut by a British writer, director or producer
The Ghoul – Gareth Tunley (writer/director/producer), Jack Healy Guttman & Tom Meeten (producers)
I Am Not a Witch – Rungano Nyoni (writer/director), Emily Morgan (Producer)
Jawbone – Johnny Harris (writer/producer), Thomas Napper (director)
Kingdom of Us – Lucy Cohen (director)
Lady Macbeth – Alice Birch (writer), William Oldroyd (director), Fodhla Cronin O’Reilly (producer)

Best film not in the English language
Elle
First They Killed My Father
The Handmaiden
Loveless
The Salesman

Best documentary
City of Ghosts
I Am Not Your Negro
Icarus
An Inconvenient Sequel
Jane

Best animated film
Coco
Loving Vincent
My Life as a Courgette

Best director
Denis Villeneuve, Blade Runner 2049
Luca Guadagnino, Call Me by Your Name
Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk
Guillermo Del Toro, The Shape of Water
Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Best original screenplay
Get Out
I, Tonya
Lady Bird
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Best adapted screenplay
Call Me by Your Name
The Death of Stalin
Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool
Molly’s Game
Paddington 2

Best actress
Annette Bening, Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool
Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird

Best actor
Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread
Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out
Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
Jamie Bell, Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool
Timothée Chalamet, Call Me by Your Name

Best supporting actress
Allison Janney, I, Tonya
Kristin Scott Thomas, Darkest Hour
Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
Lesley Manville, Phantom Thread
Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water

Best supporting actor
Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World
Hugh Grant, Paddington 2
Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Best original music
Blade Runner 2049
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
Phantom Thread
The Shape of Water

Best cinematography
Blade Runner 2049
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Best editing
Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Best production design
Beauty and the Beast
Blade Runner 2049
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water

Best costume design
Beauty and the Beast
Darkest Hour
I, Tonya
Phantom Thread
The Shape of Water

Best make up & hair
Blade Runner 2049
Darkest Hour
I, Tonya
Victoria & Abdul
Wonder

Best sound
Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi

Best special visual effects
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
War for the Planet of the Apes

Best British short animation
Have Heart
Mamoon
Poles Apart

Best British short film
Aamir
Cowboy Dave
A Drowning Man
Work
Wren Boys

EE Rising Star award (voted for by the public)
Daniel Kaluuya
Florence Pugh
Josh O’Connor
Tessa Thompson
Timothée Chalamet

75th Golden Globe Winners

Follow along here with live Golden Globe winner updates.

Best Motion Picture, Drama
Three Billboards

Best Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy
Lady Bird

Best Director – Motion Picture
Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water

Best Actor in a Motion Picture, Drama
Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour

Best Actress in a Motion Picture, Drama
Francis McDormand, Three Billboards

Best Actor in a Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy
James Franco, The Disaster Artist

Best Actress in a Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy
Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird

Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture
Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards

Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture
Allison Janney, I, Tonya

Best Screenplay – Motion Picture
Three Billboards, Martin McDonagh

Best Foreign Language Film
In the Fade (Germany, France)

Best Animated Feature Film
Coco

Best Original Score – Motion Picture
The Shape of Water, Alexandre Desplat

Best Original Song – Motion Picture
“This Is Me”, The Greatest Showman

PGA Nominates an Unprecedented 11 Films

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The Producers Guild of America Awards announced its 11 nominees on Friday. A tie vote meant that the usual PGA top 10 expanded to 11.

Surprises include nominations for Wonder Woman, Molly’s Game and The Big Sick. The Oscar for Best Picture almost always needs a PGA nomination and most importantly a PGA win. This makes Wonder Woman a possible nominee for Best Picture. It is a sign of the end of days.

Unfortunately, The Florida Project, Darkest Hour and Mudbound failed to make the list. Wonder Woman over The Florida Project? What is happening?

When the Oscars expanded to 10 nominees in 2009, the PGA did the same. In 2011 the academy changed to a sliding scale of anywhere between 5 and 10 nominees. The PGA smartly stuck with 10 or as in this year 11.  The Producers Guild has predicted 88% of the Best Picture nominees over the past eight years.

PGA Awards winners will be revealed on January 20th at a ceremony at the Beverly Hilton Hotel.

 

The full list of film nominations:
Outstanding Producer of Theatrical Motion Pictures
The Big Sick
Producers: Judd Apatow, Barry Mendel
Call Me By Your Name
Producers: Peter Spears, Luca Guadagnino, Emilie Georges, Marco Morabito
Dunkirk
Producers: Emma Thomas, Christopher Nolan
Get Out
Producers: Sean McKittrick & Edward H. Hamm, Jr., Jason Blum, Jordan Peele
I, Tonya
Producers: Bryan Unkeless, Steven Rogers, Margot Robbie, Tom Ackerley
Lady Bird
Producers: Scott Rudin, Eli Bush, Evelyn O’Neill
Molly’s Game
Producers: Mark Gordon, Amy Pascal, Matt Jackson
The Post
Producers: Amy Pascal, Steven Spielberg, Kristie Macosko Krieger
The Shape of Water
Producers: Guillermo del Toro, J. Miles Dale
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Producers: Graham Broadbent & Pete Czernin, Martin McDonagh
Wonder Woman
Producers: Charles Roven & Richard Suckle, Zack Snyder & Deborah Snyder

 

Outstanding Producer of Animated Theatrical Motion Pictures
The Boss Baby
Producer: Ramsey Naito
Coco
Producer: Darla K. Anderson
Despicable Me 3
Producers: Chris Meledandri, Janet Healy
Ferdinand
Producers: Lori Forte, Bruce Anderson
The Lego Batman Movie
Producers: Dan Lin, Phil Lord & Christopher Miller

Outstanding Producer of Documentary Motion Pictures
Chasing Coral
Producers: Jeff Orlowski, Larissa Rhodes
City of Ghosts
Producer: Matthew Heineman
Cries from Syria
Producers: Evgeny Afineevsky, Den Tolmor, Aaron I. Butler
Earth: One Amazing Day
Producer: Stephen McDonogh
Jane
This film is still in the process of being vetted for producer eligibility this year.
Joshua: Teenager vs. Superpower
This film is still in the process of being vetted for producer eligibility this year.
The Newspaperman: The Life and Times of Ben Bradlee
Producers: Teddy Kunhardt, George Kunhardt

Writers Guild Announces Nominations

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The Writers Guild announced their nominations today for Best Original and Best Adapted Screenplays. The WGA nominees often translate to an Oscar nomination. And a Screenplay Oscar win usually leads to a Best Picture win. Needless to say, the WGA list is an important one to be on.

In order to be eligible, the writers must be a member of the WGA union. This year the ineligible movies include Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, The Darkest Hour, Coco and Victoria & Abdul.

The WGA’s nominated screenplays were selected by its 12,000 eligible members from 47 contenders in the adapted category and 59 in the original category.

The WGA will announce the winners on February 11th in ceremonies in NY and LA simultaneously.

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
The Big Sick, Written by Emily V. Gordon & Kumail Nanjiani; Amazon Studios
Get Out, Written by Jordan Peele; Universal Pictures
I, Tonya, Written by Steven Rogers; Neon
Lady Bird, Written by Greta Gerwig; A24
The Shape of Water, Screenplay by Guillermo del Toro & Vanessa Taylor; Story by Guillermo del Toro; Fox Searchlight

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Call Me by Your Name, Screenplay by James Ivory; Based on the Novel by André Aciman; Sony Pictures Classics
The Disaster Artist, Screenplay by Scott Neustadter & Michael H. Weber; Based on the Book The Disaster Artist: My Life Inside the Room, the Greatest Bad Movie Ever Made by Greg Sestero and Tom Bissell; A24
Logan, Screenplay by Scott Frank & James Mangold and Michael Green; Story by James Mangold; Based on Characters from the X-Men Comic Books and Theatrical Motion Pictures; Twentieth Century Fox Film
Molly’s Game, Screenplay by Aaron Sorkin; Based on the Book by Molly Bloom; STX Entertainment
Mudbound, Screenplay by Virgil Williams and Dee Rees; Based on the Novel by Hillary Jordan; Netflix

 

 

Art Directors Guild Nominations

Blade Runner 2049, Dunkirk and The Shape of Water are among the nominees for the Art Directors Guild’s Excellence in Production Design Awards. All great choices with The Shape of Water being the frontrunner, in my opinion.

The ADG divides the nominations into three categories – period, fantasy and contemporary.

Over the past five years, the winner of the ADG’s period film went on to win the Oscar in production design 4 times. The Great Gatsby in 2013 , The Grand Budapest Hotel in 2014, Mad Max: Fury Road in 2015 and La La Land last year.

This is the first year that the ADG will present an award for animation.

The winners will be announced January 27th.

Full list of movie nominees:

PERIOD FILM
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
Murder on the Orient Express
The Post
The Shape of Water

FANTASY FILM
Beauty and the Beast
Blade Runner 2049
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
War for the Planet of the Apes
Wonder Woman

CONTEMPORARY FILM
Downsizing
Get Out
Lady Bird
Logan
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

ANIMATED FILM
Cars 3
Coco
Despicable Me 3
The Lego Batman Movie
Loving Vincent